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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Portman Road
BR

Ipswich
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Sears (29', 68'), Chambers (44')
Dozzell (24'), Woolfenden (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Grant (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.44%26.17%30.38%
Both teams to score 52.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.79%52.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08%73.91%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12%23.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92%58.07%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04%67.96%
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 43.44%
    Bristol Rovers 30.38%
    Draw 26.16%
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.38%


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