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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
CC

MK Dons
0 - 1
Coventry


Kasumu (67'), Cargill (79'), Sorensen (81'), Houghton (90+1'), (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Walker (82')
Shipley (37')
Drysdale (27')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCoventry City
33.05%24.83%42.12%
Both teams to score 57.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53%26.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35%61.65%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26%54.74%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 33.05%
    Coventry City 42.12%
    Draw 24.83%
MK DonsDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 7.74%
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-1 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 4.55%
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.12%


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