Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.