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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
MT

Preston
4 - 0
Mansfield

Barkhuizen (14'), Maguire (22'), Bauer (29'), Harrop (65')
Pearson (32'), (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Perch (24')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMansfield Town
44.8%25.18%30.02%
Both teams to score 55.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78%48.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63%70.37%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47%21.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4%54.59%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22%29.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15%65.85%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 44.8%
    Mansfield Town 30.02%
    Draw 25.17%
Preston North EndDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.8%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.02%


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