Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.