Swindon
1 - 3
Charlton

Smith (64')
Doughty (74'), Odimayo (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bonne (36'), Barker (74'), Aneke (90')
Oztumer (23')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Charlton Athletic.

The Match

Team News

Jonny Williams and Conor Washington miss out for the Addicks.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Charlton Athletic
50.11%	24.93%	24.96%

Both teams to score 52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54%

50.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61%

72.39%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85%

20.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57%

52.43%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12%

34.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.39%

71.61%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 50.1%

Charlton Athletic 24.96%

Draw 24.92%

Swindon Town	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.96%