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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
SU

West Brom
1 - 0
Sheff Utd

Grant (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Sheffield United

The expected rotations to both squads make Thursday's tie a tough one to call, but given the extensive injury issues the visitors are dealing with, we see West Brom having more squad depth to call on and just prevailing on the night as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSheffield United
36.72% (0.453 0.45) 25.31% (0.064 0.06) 37.97% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26)47.11% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (-0.247 -0.25)69.34% (0.248 0.25)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.13 0.13)25.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.179 0.18)59.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.393 -0.39)24.4% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-0.558 -0.56)58.82% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 36.72%
    Sheffield United 37.97%
    Draw 25.31%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 37.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Watford
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, July 30 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 West Brom
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 0-3 West Brom
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Utd
Monday, August 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Sheff Utd
Friday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 16 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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