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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
London Stadium
HL

West Ham
5 - 1
Hull City

Snodgrass (18'), Haller (45', 90+1'), Yarmolenko (56' pen., 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilks (70')
McLoughlin (55'), Honeyman (59'), Fleming (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawHull City
46.52%24.49%28.99%
Both teams to score 56.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25%45.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93%68.07%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75%29.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79%65.2%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 46.52%
    Hull City 28.99%
    Draw 24.49%
West Ham UnitedDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 5.78%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.11%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 28.99%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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