Bolton
2 - 3
Crewe

Delaney (53'), Miller (75')
White (31'), Delaney (47'), Taft (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mandron (15', 89' pen.), Dale (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
31.86%	25.28%	42.86%

Both teams to score 55.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08%

47.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9%

70.1%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61%

28.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86%

64.14%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7%

22.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23%

55.77%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 31.86%

Crewe Alexandra 42.86%

Draw 25.28%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.86%