Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 79.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 6.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.63%) and 3-0 (12.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Everton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.