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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
HT

Hartlepool
3 - 2
Harrogate

Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Harrogate Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
37.45%27.18%35.37%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89%55.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64%76.36%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81%64.19%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25%65.75%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 37.44%
    Harrogate Town 35.37%
    Draw 27.18%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.37%

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