Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.