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SL
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
G

Stoke
1 - 0
Gillingham

Campbell (37')
McClean (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maghoma (90'), Jackson (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawGillingham
42.12%27.18%30.7%
Both teams to score 49.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98%56.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89%77.1%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.37%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08%69.92%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 42.11%
    Gillingham 30.7%
    Draw 27.17%
Stoke CityDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.7%


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