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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 28, 2021 at 7pm UK
Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 3
Leeds U21s

Dearnley (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Diarra (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Summerville (42' pen.), McGahey (58' og.), Jameson (80' og.)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oldham Athletic and Leeds United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawLeeds United Under-21s
70.63%15.75%13.62%
Both teams to score 64.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.8%45.2%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.58%6.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.95%24.05%
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34%67.66%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 70.63%
    Leeds United Under-21s 13.62%
    Draw 15.76%
Oldham AthleticDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-0 @ 6.94%
4-1 @ 5.53%
1-0 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 4.68%
4-2 @ 3.21%
5-1 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 2.62%
5-2 @ 1.76%
6-1 @ 1.39%
4-3 @ 1.24%
6-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 70.63%
1-1 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.11%
0-0 @ 2.01%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-3 @ 1.44%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 13.62%

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