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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2021 at 7pm UK
The New York Stadium

Rotherham
5 - 0
Man City U21s

Grigg (51'), Sadlier (63' pen., 81', 90'), Hull (66')
Sadlier (27'), Kayode (38'), Durose (41'), Warne (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Charles (89')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Rotherham United and Manchester City Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 21.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawManchester City Under-21s
57.48%21.2%21.32%
Both teams to score 59.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.14%37.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.88%60.11%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98%13.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.44%39.56%
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88%31.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56%67.44%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 57.48%
    Manchester City Under-21s 21.32%
    Draw 21.2%
Rotherham UnitedDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 6.68%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.41%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 57.48%
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-1 @ 4.73%
0-2 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 21.32%

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