Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
