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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 22, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 0
Newcastle U21s

High (11'), Barnett (18'), Cummings (56')
Walker (39'), Cummings (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Shrewsbury Town and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
58.79%21.43%19.77%
Both teams to score 56.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83%41.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44%63.56%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3%13.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07%40.93%
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49%34.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78%71.21%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 58.79%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 19.77%
    Draw 21.43%
Shrewsbury TownDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 6.19%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 3.27%
4-0 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 58.79%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 19.77%


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