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Thursday, March 28
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League One | Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2020 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
NT

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Northampton

Whalley (54')
High (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marshall (12'), Hoskins (65')
Missilou (60'), Warburton (83')
Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawNorthampton Town
32.15%25.95%41.9%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31%50.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41%72.59%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42%29.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39%65.62%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02%23.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 32.15%
    Northampton Town 41.89%
    Draw 25.95%
Shrewsbury TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.89%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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