Sunderland
1 - 0
Tranmere

Gooch (57')
Power (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Build‑up

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The Black Cats saw off Tranmere for their first victory in their last nine finals at the national stadium.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
52.79%	24.91%	22.3%

Both teams to score 49.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24%

52.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61%

74.39%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03%

19.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.87%

52.13%

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41%

38.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67%

75.32%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 52.79%

Tranmere Rovers 22.3%

Draw 24.9%

Sunderland	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 52.79%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.3%