Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.