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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Adams Park

Wycombe
5 - 3
Brighton U21s

Lubala (13', 30', 36', 50'), Sadlier (27')
Harvie (82'), Hartridge (82')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Howell (45+3' pen., 80' pen.), Ifill (56')
Knight (41'), Albarus (48'), Moulton (87')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-1 Wolves U21s
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
46.87% (0.692 0.69) 22.03% (-0.465 -0.47) 31.09% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 66.99% (1.642 1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.12% (2.2 2.2)32.88% (-2.199 -2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (2.493 2.49)54.59% (-2.492 -2.49)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (1.079 1.08)14.65% (-1.078 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (2.033 2.03)42.79% (-2.032 -2.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.943 0.94)21.52% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (1.429 1.43)54.57% (-1.428 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 46.87%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 31.09%
    Draw 22.03%
Wycombe WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.155 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.188 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.065 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.433 -0.43)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 2-3 Birmingham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-1 Wolves U21s
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: WBA U21s 0-4 Brighton U21s
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: WBA U21s 0-4 Brighton U21s
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Crawley 2-2 Brighton U21s (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Brighton U21s 0-2 West Ham U21s
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 5-4 Brighton U21s (0-0 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1


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