Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.