Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
