Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 56.87%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
