Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.