Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
