SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.42%) and 1-3 (5.05%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Rosenborg |
36.48% ( -0.36) | 22.21% ( -0.06) | 41.32% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 68.34% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0.26) | 31.9% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.55% ( 0.3) | 53.45% ( -0.3) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.05) | 18.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.55% ( -0.08) | 49.45% ( 0.08) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 0.27) | 16.3% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% ( 0.5) | 45.87% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.32% |
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