SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tromso IL | 21 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 | FK Haugesund | 21 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Aalesund | 21 | -8 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 27 | 41 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 21 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Valerenga Fotball | 21 | 7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Rosenborg |
33.8% ( -0.15) | 23.84% ( -0.01) | 42.35% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.04) | 40.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( 0.04) | 63.07% ( -0.04) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.07) | 23.73% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -0.09) | 57.86% ( 0.09) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.08) | 19.49% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% ( 0.14) | 51.36% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 42.35% |
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