SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fredrikstad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Sandefjord |
38.78% ( -0.16) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 37.04% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.23% ( 0.07) | 41.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% ( 0.07) | 64.17% ( -0.07) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.05) | 21.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( -0.07) | 54.71% ( 0.07) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.12) | 22.48% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( 0.18) | 56.04% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.04% |
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