SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Viking FK |
32.02% ( -0.25) | 25.85% ( 0) | 42.13% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( -0.08) | 50.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( -0.08) | 72.25% ( 0.08) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.21) | 29.47% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0.25) | 65.48% ( 0.26) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( 0.08) | 23.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.12) | 57.8% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Viking FK |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.02% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.12% |
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