Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.