Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.