Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Aalesund win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjondalen would win this match.