Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
