Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.