Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Aalesund win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.