Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.