Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.