Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.