Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.