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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Nadderud Stadion
L

Stabaek
2 - 3
Lillestrom

Valaker Edvardsen (55'), Geelmuyden (77')
Moe (60'), Shala (78'), Geelmuyden (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matthew (9'), Lehne Olsen (66', 71')
Krogstad (82')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stabaek Football and Lillestrom.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Stabaek FootballDrawLillestrom
32.43%26.03%41.54%
Both teams to score 53.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06%50.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.81%
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46%65.53%
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73%24.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37%58.63%
Score Analysis
    Stabaek Football 32.43%
    Lillestrom 41.53%
    Draw 26.02%
Stabaek FootballDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.53%

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