Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Start had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Start win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.