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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 24
Nov 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
Sparebanken Sør Arena

Start
3 - 2
Sarpsborg

Segberg (36', 47'), Kabran (89')
(86'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Saletros (21'), Jorgen Halvorsen (45+3' pen.)
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Start and Sarpsborg 08.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Start win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Start win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Start would win this match.

Result
StartDrawSarpsborg 08
45.14%26.12%28.73%
Both teams to score 51.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24%52.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61%74.39%
Start Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94%33.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34%69.66%
Score Analysis
    Start 45.14%
    Sarpsborg 08 28.73%
    Draw 26.12%
StartDrawSarpsborg 08
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 28.73%


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