SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 76.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 3-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Sandefjord |
76.9% ( -0.03) | 13.21% ( 0.02) | 9.88% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.37% ( -0.06) | 22.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.25% ( -0.08) | 41.74% ( 0.08) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.17% ( -0.02) | 4.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.53% ( -0.05) | 19.46% ( 0.05) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.03) | 34.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( -0.03) | 71.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)6-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 4.85% Total : 76.9% | 1-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 13.21% | 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 0.99% 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.88% |
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