SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.27%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
32.04% ( -1.48) | 22.39% ( -0.45) | 45.57% ( 1.93) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( 1.67) | 34.18% ( -1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.94% ( 1.87) | 56.06% ( -1.87) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( -0) | 21.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( -0.01) | 54.73% ( 0.01) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( 1.39) | 15.6% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% ( 2.52) | 44.58% ( -2.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.16)3-4 @ 1% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.57% |
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