Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.