Ajax
5 - 1
Heerenveen

Tadic (4', 28' pen.), Kudus (35'), Klaassen (72' pen.), Antony (87')
Martinez (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Veerman (66')
Kongolo (72'), Paul van Hecke (74')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Heerenveen
72.7%	15.45%	11.85%

Both teams to score 59.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.55%

28.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.69%

49.31%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.2%

6.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.92%

25.08%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85%

36.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07%

72.93%

Score Analysis

Ajax 72.7%

Heerenveen 11.85%

Draw 15.45%

Ajax	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 6.61% 4-1 @ 5.45% 4-0 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 4.12% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.77% 5-2 @ 1.49% 6-1 @ 1.31% 6-0 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.57% Total : 72.7%	1-1 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 4.6% 0-0 @ 2.46% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.45%	1-2 @ 3.42% 0-1 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-2 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.93% Total : 11.85%