SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 40.02% | 24.64% | 35.34% |
| Both teams to score 58.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.88% | 44.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.5% | 66.5% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% | 22.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.65% | 55.35% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% | 24.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.08% | 58.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.34% |
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