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Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
A

FC Twente
1 - 3
Ajax

Pleguezuelo (84')
Rots (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haller (7'), Huntelaar (90', 90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a FC Twente win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
9.81%14.37%75.82%
Both teams to score 55.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.74%50.25%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78%40.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15%76.85%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.6%6.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.02%23.98%
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 9.81%
    Ajax 75.82%
    Draw 14.37%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 2.93%
1-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.23%
2-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 9.81%
1-1 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 4.04%
0-0 @ 2.57%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 14.37%
0-2 @ 9.73%
0-3 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 8.86%
1-3 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-4 @ 6.13%
1-4 @ 5.59%
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-5 @ 3.37%
1-5 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 2.54%
0-6 @ 1.55%
1-6 @ 1.41%
2-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 75.82%

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