Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
