Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
